Bank of Japan, suddenly raise interest rates!

According to CCTV news, on July 31st, local time, the Bank of Japan held a monetary policy meeting.Decided to adjust the current policy interest rate from 0% to 0.1% to 0.25%.This rate hike is the first since the negative interest rate policy was lifted in March this year. In addition, the Bank of Japan also decided to reduce the purchase scale of Japanese government bonds in the next one to two years.

On March 19th this year, the Bank of Japan decided to end the negative interest rate policy and raise the policy interest rate from -0.1% to 0-0.1%, which was the first time for the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates in 17 years since February 2007.

The Bank of Japan introduced ultra-loose monetary policy in 2013. In February 2016, the Bank of Japan began to implement a negative interest rate policy, reducing the interest rate of commercial banks’ excess reserve deposits from the previous 0.1% to -0.1%. The Bank of Japan is the first central bank in the world to implement a negative interest rate policy. The Bank of Japan tried to stimulate economic growth and raise inflation through this unconventional monetary policy.

As of the close of July 31, the Nikkei 225 index closed up 1.49% at 39,101.82 points. The yield of Japanese five-year government bonds rose by 7.5 basis points to 0.660%, the highest level since November 2009.

According to shanghai securities news, analysts believe that the Bank of Japan cut its bond purchases while raising interest rates, demonstrating its determination to normalize its policies. The Bank of Japan also hinted in its statement that it may continue to tighten monetary policy in the future. "The future monetary policy operation will depend on the future development of economic activities, prices and financial conditions. However, given that the real interest rate is at a significantly low level, if the prospects put forward in the outlook report in July can be realized, the central bank will continue to raise the policy interest rate accordingly and adjust the degree of monetary easing."

On July 31, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda said that it is appropriate to adjust the easing policy from the perspective of achieving the sustainability and stability of 2% inflation. The real interest rate may still be significantly negative, and the relaxed financial environment will continue to support the economy. If the current economic and price prospects are realized, we will continue to raise interest rates and adjust the intensity of easing policies.Whether to continue to raise interest rates during the year will depend on data performance.

According to china securities journal, the Bank of Japan’s interest rate hike is somewhat hasty. The reason is that raising interest rates may delay the recovery of domestic demand and put pressure on economic growth, while the slowdown of the US economy and the appreciation of the yen may also drag down economic growth.

Stefan Angrick, a senior economist at Moody’s Analytics, said that the Bank of Japan’s interest rate hike is likely to be considered as one of the most controversial interest rate hikes, because even typical hawks in Japan agree that the Bank of Japan should keep interest rates unchanged in view of the poor economic situation. At best, a small interest rate hike will further drag down economic growth, and at worst, it may trigger a broader economic downturn.

Naomi Muguruma, strategist at Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities, said that the Bank of Japan’s statement shows that its position has become tougher. She said that unless the economy falls sharply, the Bank of Japan may raise interest rates again later this year.

Affected by the Bank of Japan’s unexpected interest rate hike, USD/JPY fell by 110 points in the short term, and the lowest fell to 151.58, which is exactly the strong support of the 200-day moving average; Subsequently, the exchange rate rebounded rapidly, hitting a maximum of 153.88.

The yen has been depreciating since this year. On July 12, shortly after the release of the consumer price index (CPI) data in the United States, the exchange rate of the Japanese yen against the US dollar rebounded strongly, once soaring to 157.44 yen against the US dollar, the largest one-day increase since the end of 2022, with an increase of nearly 3%.

Japanese media reported on July 16th that according to the data on the increase and decrease of funds released by the Bank of Japan, market stakeholders analyzed and calculated that on July 12th, the Japanese government and the Bank of Japan may have intervened in the foreign exchange market by buying yen and selling dollars, and the scale of funds used is estimated to be around 2 trillion yen (about 91.7 billion yuan). However, the Japanese government did not announce whether it had intervened.

According to CCTV news, according to the report released by the Bank of Japan on May 29th, the valuation loss (floating loss) of the national debt held by it in the fiscal year of 2023-2024 (from April 2023 to March 2024) reached 9,433.7 billion yen, a record high in the same period in history.

The Bank of Japan announces the final accounts of the past fiscal year in May every year.

According to the fiscal year final accounts released this time, as of the end of March 2024, the balance of national debt held by the Bank of Japan increased by 1.4% year-on-year, reaching 58,966.34 billion yen, a record high for two consecutive years. If the long-term interest rate rises further, the valuation loss may continue to increase.

edit|Dubo, Sun Zhicheng

proofread|Lu xiangyong

The cover picture is taken by every special correspondent Hao Shuai.

National business daily is integrated from CCTV News, china securities journal, shanghai securities news, etc.

national business daily

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"Shuangpu" is incompatible with water and fire? Putin named Trump by name.

  Cctv newsOn the 18th, Russian President Vladimir Putin met with visiting German Chancellor Angela Merkel in Sochi.

  During the talks, the two sides discussed the situation in Syria, Russia-Europe relations and the withdrawal of the United States from the Iranian nuclear agreement.

  Merkel visits Putin and flowers greet him.

  German Chancellor Angela Merkel arrived in Sochi, Russia on the 18th. After arriving, she immediately met with Russian President Vladimir Putin.

  In order to show the friendship between the two countries, Putin, who was waiting at the door, also presented a bouquet of flowers for Merkel.

  Merkel’s visit is to ease Russia-Europe relations.

  The main purpose of Merkel’s trip is to ease the tense Russian-European relations in recent years. In the context of the current rift between the US and Europe due to the Iranian nuclear deal and trade issues, her trip has attracted much attention.

  The two discussed international hot issues.

  At the joint press conference after the meeting, Putin said that the meeting with Merkel was timely and beneficial. When talking about the situation in Syria, Putin said that if Europe wants refugees exiled there to return to their homes, it should help Syria revive its economy and provide substantial humanitarian assistance to Syria, and these issues should be depoliticized.

  Merkel says friendship with Russia is in Germany’s interest.

  Merkel hopes that Russia will exert influence on the Syrian government and urge them not to create difficulties for refugees to return home. She also said that good relations with Russia are in Germany’s strategic interests.

  Both Russia and Germany support the maintenance of the Iranian nuclear deal.

  On the withdrawal of the United States from the Iranian nuclear deal, Merkel said that both Germany and Russia support this agreement and hope that Iran will remain in the framework of the agreement. Although this agreement is not perfect, it is better than nothing. At the same time, the European Union also agrees that negotiations on Iran’s ballistic missile program are needed in the future.

  Putin: The Nord Stream 2 project has nothing to do with politics.

Network mapping has nothing to do with content

Putin and Trump (the network map has nothing to do with the content)

  Putin and Merkel also focused on the "Nord Stream 2" natural gas pipeline construction project. Putin said that this pipeline is a purely commercial project and has nothing to do with politics — — He also rarely directly named the US President Trump.

  When asked about the "Nord Stream 2" natural gas pipeline construction project, Putin said that the construction of the project is entirely from an economic point of view, without political factors. He also stated that "Nord Stream 2" is not a substitute for Ukraine’s natural gas pipeline, and even after the completion of "Nord Stream 2", the natural gas pipeline supplying gas to Europe through Ukraine can still continue to operate.

  US interferes with Russian energy project Putin and Trump

  Last year, Gazprom signed agreements with many energy companies in France, the Netherlands, Austria and Germany to jointly promote this project.

  The Trump administration has repeatedly warned that companies involved in the construction of the project may face US sanctions. In this regard, Putin’s response is a bit rude.

  Reuters described Putin’s comments on Trump as "unusually straightforward", because although Putin criticized American policies, he always respected Trump himself. In the words of Russian officials, Putin and Trump have established a "good personal relationship".

  Some commentators also pointed out that Russia and Europe are opposed to the Trump administration’s policies on the Iranian nuclear deal and other issues, which may lead to reconciliation between Russia and Europe. The "Nord Stream 2" project concerns the common interests of Russia and Europe, especially Germany, and also provides an opportunity to repair the seriously damaged Russian-European relations after the outbreak of the Ukrainian crisis.

The stock of Chairman Mao’s special porcelain bowl is less than the auction price of 1.7 million (Figure)


Chairman Mao’s special porcelain bowl







Chairman Mao’s special porcelain bowl


  "The modern ceramics we often mention now generally refer to the ceramics produced since the founding of New China 60 years ago. Some modern porcelains have a certain historical accumulation, especially those that can reflect the porcelain-making technology and level of New China, and also have high collection and investment value. " Mr. He Zhenggu, Secretary-General of the Ceramic Professional Committee of Jiangsu Collectors Association, was a guest in the live video studio of "Yangtze Jianbao" yesterday. He said in the lecture on modern porcelain appreciation and collection that in recent years, many investors in Nanjing have begun to target modern porcelain that was not paid attention to before but has great appreciation potential.


  Early modern porcelain was made by famous artists.


  He Zhenggu said that modern ceramics can be divided into three categories.


  First of all, in the 1950s and 1960s, the ceramic industry in China was still in a state of great waste. Due to the attention and call of the state, and in order to meet the needs of domestic and foreign markets, large-scale production enterprises such as Jingdezhen, the Millennium porcelain capital, appeared one after another, and a large number of old ceramists gathered in this era. These factories and enterprises occupied strong technical talents, such as Cai Jingbiao, He Shuigen and other famous sculptors in the late Republic of China, which made the ceramic works of this period reach the founding of New China.


  The stock of "Red Official Kiln Porcelain" in the Cultural Revolution was small.


  Secondly, in modern ceramics, the ceramics during the Cultural Revolution are divided into one category, that is, the ceramics during the Cultural Revolution, which is now the new favorite of collectors. This historical period is very special. Most of the porcelains produced are porcelain statues and badges. In addition, there are a large number of daily necessities, such as porcelain plates, bowls, cups, pots, vases, pen holders, etc. The patterns are mostly quotations from Mao Zedong, poems, patterns of workers, peasants and soldiers, and heroic figures. Among them, the special porcelain for Chairman Mao, which was developed and produced in the late Cultural Revolution, is more valuable for collection. It is also known as "Red Official Kiln Porcelain" because of its extremely high level of craftsmanship and rare survival. This batch of porcelain is highly respected in the domestic and foreign markets.


  He Zhenggu pointed to the "Lotus-to-Flower Bowl" in his hand and said that the technological feature of the Cultural Revolution porcelain is that the patterns are neat, and every two flowers are very symmetrical together, without any deviation, which has high requirements for painters, which is beyond the reach of the general artistic level. In addition, the porcelain tire is translucent, which is equivalent to the quality of jade. This kind of porcelain is a kind of ornamental device called "Chairman Porcelain", which is the representative of the highest level of ceramics since the founding of New China. In addition, the image of ancient girls, big collar, high bun and flower arrangement on her head also showed the obvious characteristics of porcelain during the Cultural Revolution.


  Famous artists combine oil painting style into porcelain.


  The third kind of modern porcelain is called contemporary artists’ porcelain. He Zhenggu said that contemporary masters pay more attention to the quality and artistic level of tires, glazes, patterns and shapes of their works, and at the same time pay more attention to the development of individuality. For example, Li Jusheng, a professor at Jingdezhen Ceramic Institute and a master of arts and crafts in China, made repeated experiments on high-temperature colored glaze for many years when developing his personal works, and used his own understanding of China’s history and culture to organically combine ancient poetry, ancient painting style and oil painting style.


  The collection value of modern porcelain has reached hundreds of thousands.


  "The collection value of modern porcelain has reached tens of thousands or even hundreds of thousands." He Zhenggu said that in the 1950s and 1960s, the ceramic works of state-owned factories generally did not leave personal names, and only the authors or their families could be identified according to the painting style of porcelain. Therefore, porcelain-like works have a certain historical value since they were fifty or sixty years ago, and their economic value is related to their specifications, shapes, authors, artistic attainments and other factors. At present, the market of the works of old ceramists in the late Republic of China and the early liberation period is excellent, especially the works of Wang Xiliang, Zhang Songmao and other old ceramists, with the market price ranging from tens of thousands to hundreds of thousands.


  There are four ways to identify "porcelain"


  Regarding the identification method, He Zhenggu said, first of all, the three categories of modern porcelain are different in many ways. At the beginning, the porcelain works in state-owned factories did not leave personal names. Only by finding the author or identifying his family according to the style of porcelain painting, its economic value was related to its size, shape, author, artistic attainments and other factors.


  In addition, the value of "Mao porcelain" is the highest among the cultural revolution porcelain. For example, in 1997, a small bowl of Chairman Mao’s special porcelain was photographed to 1.7 million in China, setting the highest market for single-piece "Mao porcelain". He Zhenggu especially reminded that if Tibetan friends want to collect "Mao porcelain" now, they should identify it from four aspects: shape, glaze, ornamentation and embryo quality, and master the characteristics and specifications of various objects. The genuine glaze in this period is white and transparent, and the division of labor is fine. Moreover, this batch of porcelain is all made of Linchuan kaolin in Fuzhou, all made by hand, fired at high temperature, with thin embryo, translucent and striking.


  The identification of the third kind of contemporary artists’ ceramics requires Tibetans to do their homework first, understand the market conditions, consult the auction price, ask the masters more, and also understand the master’s popularity and reputation in society.


  "The collection of modern ceramics is expensive in’ slow fire and slow work’, which requires both peace of mind and perseverance. If you persist for many years, you will get something, and the return on investment is only a matter of time. " Mr. He Zhenggu said. Wang Fang Yao Yuxin Kong Xiaoping/Wen


  Xu Jiewei Song Qiao/Photography

Editor: Sun Jie

When is the best time to buy JD.COM 618? 2023 Tmall Taobao JD.COM 618 Red Packet Collection Method

The annual 618 Shopping Festival has already started! Taobao, Tmall and JD.COM have all joined the carnival, so get ready to snap it up! This year’s activities are still very favorable. The following are the specific ways to play:

1.Taobao Tmall 618activity

This activity is divided into three stages, starting at 20 o’clock on May 26th and lasting until June 20th:

Get off to a good start: from 20: 00 on May 31st to 23:59 on June 3rd, the spot went straight down.Shopping allowanceThere is no threshold for reduction, and a variety of coupons and discounts can be superimposed.

QQ screenshot 20230530152335.jpg

Category Day: From 0: 00 on June 4th to 23:59 on June 13th, different categories of carnival are held every day, enjoying exclusive discounts.

Carnival Day: It will be preheated from 0: 00 on June 14th to 19:59 on June 15th, and will be officially put on sale from 20: 00 on June 15th to 23:59 on June 20th, with full price. If you miss it, wait another year.

Pre-sale venue: the down payment will be paid from 20: 00 on May 26th to 18:00 on June 3rd, and the final payment will be paid from 20: 00 on June 3rd to 23:59 on June 20th. Pre-sale commodities can be combined with other commodities to enjoy full reduction.

> > Click here to collect the Tmall 618 red envelope.

2. Taobao Tmall 618 activity gameplay

Super red envelope: a red envelope that can be directly deducted from cash, reaching 23,888 yuan, and the collection time is from May 29th to June 18th.

Discount on the first n items: you can get a special price for the first n items of a specific product, and the more you buy, the cheaper it is.

Red envelope rain: participate in red envelope rain during the event, win more red envelopes, and shopping is more exciting.

Tmall 618 red envelope. jpg

Pre-sale: the pre-sale deposit locks in the goods and offers, and you don’t have to worry about shortage when you snap up in advance.

75% discount for two pieces and more discount for many pieces: some goods are 75% discount for two pieces or more, and the more you buy, the more cost-effective.

Second, JD.COM 618 activities

The pre-sale of JD.COM 618 was started at 20: 00 on May 23rd, and it was officially put on sale at 20: 00 on May 31st. There are several important stages during the activity:

Pre-sale period: from 20: 00 on May 23 to 19: 20 on May 31, you can enjoy more discounts and concessions when booking goods.

Get off to a good start: from 20: 00 on May 31st to June 3rd, the activity reached a climax, and many commodities were on sale at preferential prices.

> > > Click here to collect the JD.COM 618 red envelope.

618.jpg, JD.COM

Special period: June 4-June 15, all kinds of special activities, focusing on purchasing interested categories.

Climax: June 15th, 20: 00-June 18th, the climax of the event, more discounts and limited time snapping up are waiting for you.

Return period: June 19-June 20, there are still discounts and surprises at the end of the event.

2. JD.COM 618 Super Red Packet

Phase distribution time: from 12: 00 on May 29th to 24: 00 on June 4th. The use time is from May 29th to 24: 00 on June 4th.

The second phase of distribution time: June 5-June 11, and the use time is June 5-June 11.

The third phase of distribution time: June 12-June 18, the use time is June 12-June 20.

Third, save money tips

1. Make a shopping list in advance, and find out the price and discount information of the goods you need to buy, so that you can choose and buy quickly during the discount period.

2. Pay attention to the actual discount of goods, and don’t be fooled by the practice of merchants raising the original price and then discounting.

3. Compare the discounts of different merchants, and choose the favorable goods and merchants.

4. Use coupons and discount codes, collect and apply them in advance to get more preferential treatment.

5. Pay attention to the quality of goods and after-sales service to avoid buying inferior goods or encountering after-sales problems.

6. Pay by credit card, and take advantage of the preferential activities launched by credit card companies to get additional discounts or cash back discounts.

(reporting)

The animated film "The Lilliputian Country of Shan Hai Jing" was released, and the announcement was finalized 9.19.


1905 movie network news On July 8, the annual adventure comedy animated film released the finalized poster and trailer, and officially announced that it would be released nationwide on September 19. The film was produced by kevin munroe (Canadian) and Christian Kemp (Norwegian), with Daxing Zhang, Susanna Bolch and John May as screenwriters and Daxing Zhang, Jean Obote, Christian Kemp and Claudio Castelli as producers. With the appearance of the main characters in the film, the witty little prince Hammer Wood and the magical girl Feiyan grow hand in hand, and the two-headed boy Xiaoyin Xiaoyang is eye-catching. The novel and gorgeous story background setting and the adventure journey of hilarious healing in the film are slowly unfolding. The little prince Hammer Wood will take the audience into a wonderful adventure journey of Zhou Rao Kingdom.

 

Ancient adventure! Little Prince Zhou Rao led a group of friends to collect the blame and save his father.

"The Lilliputian Country of Shan Hai Jing" tells the story of the protagonist Zhou Raoguo’s little prince Hammer Wood. Because of his "mistakes", the king’s father turned to stone. Under the guidance of the prophet, Hammer Wood and his friends Feiyan and Xiaoyin Xiaoyang embarked on a thrilling journey to find his father’s tail.

With the world view of "The Lilliputian Country of Shan Hai Jing" gradually laid out, distinctive characters and hilarious adventures emerged. Zhou Raoguo’s adventure team will use its wisdom and courage to resolve the dangers and accidents encountered in the forest adventure one by one.

In the poster released this time, all the main characters appeared, and a picture scroll of ancient Zhou Raoguo was interesting. Strong father Guangmu and old rival Gu Lun Moore show off their muscles in the background, full of confidence; In the foreground, Hammer Wood’s mother, Queen Su Gu, her friend Xiao Yin Xiao Yang, the magical girl Fei Yan and the wizard’s grandfather Banshi will help out. With the help of everyone, the little prince Hammer Wood will break through himself and find the answer.

The preview of the film unveiled the fresh setting of "Big Sun Runway Competition" for the first time. The strongest Zhou Raoren struggled to run and chase in the competition, which was full of fun and adventure. But unfortunately, King Hiromu of Zhou Rao suffered an accident. Can he finally wait until the little prince Hammer Wood successfully finds his father’s tail to save him? I believe that the film will bring satisfactory answers to the audience.

 

Super surprise production! "New concept" family animation is expected to ignite the movie market.

The Lilliputian Country of Shan Hai Jing has been elaborately created from many aspects, such as story, vision, characters, etc. The film is directed by the famous Hollywood director kevin munroe and created by the behind-the-scenes team of Shrek. No matter from animation production or plot design, it strives to bring the audience a fresh viewing experience.

The new dimension expansion and adaptation of the ancient China myth has injected brand-new creative energy into the animation plot, and the powerful production team has also enriched the theme of the film with its creative ingenuity. This "new concept" family animation is bound to bring a surprise impact to the film market.


Taiping Heavenly Kingdom-Three Civilian Confrontations in Zhejiang

[Editor’s note]2021 is the 170th anniversary of the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom jintian uprising. The Paper Liu Chen, assistant professor of the Department of Private History and Peking University History, invited scholars at home and abroad to write a series of manuscripts to introduce readers to the new direction and achievements of the research on Taishi, hoping to help related research.

In the Zhejiang occupied area in the late Taiping Heavenly Kingdom, there were several local resistance forces led by civilians, the most famous of which were Bao Lishen Tuan Yong, Shen Zhangda Tuan Yong and the bandit troops of Gaitianwang, all of which were over 10,000 people. Generally speaking, the occurrence of these three large-scale mass mutinies is inevitable under the rule mode of the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom tribute system in Zhejiang province [that is, collecting tribute from the people and the Taiping Army’s "pioneering" (plundering) and "sending large donations". According to the theory of class analysis, the above three forces are all "reactionary landlords’ regimentation", but in fact, unlike ordinary vigilante groups, they have no direct organizational connection with the Qing government; The main body of its leaders and participants are civilians, which can intuitively reflect the opinions and demands of ordinary people; Moreover, some political hostility consciousness is not obvious in the initial stage. Therefore, through the observation of these three civilian-led events against the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom, we may reveal the true face of the opposition between the people and the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom.

Jinhua, Zhejiang, the former site of the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom’s Shi Wangfu

Bao Lishen and the "White-headed Army"

Bao Lishen, also known as "Li Sheng" and "Li Sheng" in historical materials, lived in Bao Village, Zhuji, Zhejiang Province for more than 20 years. He was illiterate. In the notes of scholars at that time and later, unofficial history recorded that he was a farmer, a farmer, a villager, a village tyrant and a family farmer. Not only farming, but also engaged in business. It is recorded that he "tasted selling lime from shoulder to shoulder", which shows that he is probably a yeoman. Bao Lishen’s family background is also not prominent. A family of 17 are all working in rural areas. Among the relatives, Feng Yangshan, a cousin, is only a petty official who has not entered the class. Therefore, it can basically be concluded that Bao Lishen and his family belong to the civilian class.

But he is a "special person" among ordinary farmers, or can be called a "civilian elite". Bao Lishen probably systematically studied some popular witchcraft among the people, and most historical materials think that he once studied daoist magic’s technique. It is not new to use witchcraft to organize the people. The uniqueness of Bao Lishen’s uprising lies in "controlling evil with evil", and he turned the spearhead of his struggle to the Taiping Army, which also started with "witchcraft" and "heresy". It shows that it has certain ability and strategy. Moreover, Bao Lishen has political ambitions. He claims to be "the leader", and his proclamations are all written in Jia Zi, not in the official lunar calendar of the Qing Dynasty, which is deliberately different from the Yong ying organized by Feng Za. Bao Lishen has also received the support of some small and medium-sized intellectuals, such as Zhu Zhilin, Yu Guanying, Fu Guantao and Shen Fangyi, all of whom are gentry. However, these literati are only driven, and most of them are "weak writers", and a few of them are counsellors and military aircraft, and only Bao Lishen is in charge of the overall situation and forbids it. Baocun’s armed forces are private armed groups with Bao’s family as their headquarters, and even the bureau responsible for military equipment is located in Bao Shangjie’s close friend’s home. Therefore, the leading position of "civilian elite" Bao Lishen is unshakable.

In the 11th year of Xianfeng (1861), in September, the Taiping Army defeated Shaoxing and Zhuji, and Bao Lishen used the "witchcraft" as an excuse to swear, claiming to be a descendant of the "White Crane Real Person" and founding the "Whitehead Army", which fought dozens of battles with the Taiping Army. People in neighboring counties have cast their families. In May of the first year of Tongzhi (1862), Li Shixian, Dai Wang Huang Chengzhong, Ti Wang Lian Ye Kun, the first king Fan Ruzeng and Lai Wang Lu Shunde led more than 100,000 Taiping troops to encircle Baocun again, cutting off its water and route for providing foodstuff. On the first day of July, the Taiping Army came out of the tunnel, wiped out Bao Village, and Bao Li died. According to Jiang Yili, then the governor of nursing Zhejiang, there were "14,777 deaths" after Baocun was attacked by Taiping Army. Chiang Kai-shek only refers to the number of deaths in Baocun. Because the war has been delayed for nearly a year, every time there is a war, the dead must be buried; Bao Lishen often led troops to attack, and many people died in other places; Coupled with the deaths caused by non-war factors (such as hunger and thirst, epidemic disease, suicide, etc.), and considering the environmental carrying capacity of Baocun, it is reasonable to have a total of "tens of thousands" people killed. Taiping Army also suffered heavy losses.

As for the cause of Bao Lishen’s uprising, it can be analyzed from two surviving essays. These two essays are programmatic documents of Bao’s resistance to the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom.

The first article is Bao Lishen’s campaign against Guangdong bandits. This essay was kept in the "A Brief Account of Yi Min Bao’s Establishment" compiled by Bao Zuqing in Shanyin, and it was signed "Written by Wang Xiaotie in Hangzhou". Its formation time was between the end of the eleventh year of Xianfeng and the beginning of Tongzhi Yuan, which revealed the main reasons for Bao Lishen’s uprising: First, the Taiping Army’s military discipline was corrupted; Second, the Taiping Army exterminated culture and trampled on customs.

The second article is "Dong ‘an Rebel Commander Bao Helped to Tell Qi Xin to Kill a Thief", which is included in Feng’s Huaxi Diary and Shen Zi’s Avoidance Diary in Haining. The formation time of this essay may be a little later than the first one, about shortly before March of the first year of Tongzhi. At this time, the people of Baocun had fought several large-scale battles with the Taiping Army, and both sides suffered casualties. It is inevitable that there are inaccuracies in the rhetoric of a campaign, and such absolute accusations as "regardless", "regardless", "all are", "everywhere" and "do everything" may be exaggerated. For example, the phenomenon of captive soldiers in the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom runs through all the time, which is really the harm of the early universal conscription system. However, in principle, the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom pursues the conscription system, which is implemented in various places to varying degrees. Therefore, the term "regardless of industrial and commercial farmers, they are taken captive as soldiers" in a campaign is exaggerated. This essay announced the twelve major crimes of Taiping Army: 1. Inciting cults; 2. Indiscriminate killing of innocent people; 3. Adultery of women; 4. Sogon looting; 5. burning houses; 6. wanton abduction of soldiers; 7. Imposition and extortion; 8. cruel punishment law; 9. Extinction of culture; 10. overstepping the name; 11. Destroy Zhongliang; 12. trample on customs. The twelve major crimes can be divided into three aspects: first, the accusation of Taiping Army’s military discipline corruption (sins 2, 3, 4, 5 and 6); The second is the accusation against the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom’s economic policy (sin 7); The third is the accusation against the social transformation of the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom (sins 9 and 12). This shows that the main cause of Bao’s uprising lies in the military discipline of Taiping Army and the social, economic and political strategy of Taiping Heavenly Kingdom.The remaining charges of inciting cults, cruel punishment, overstepping the name, and harming loyalty (Sins 1, 8, 10 and 11) are hostile to heresy from an orthodox standpoint, which should be the result of Bao Lishen’s intellectuals’ embellishment of the essay.

In terms of content, both essays emphasize that nature is an important reason for Bao Lishen’s trouble-the Taiping Army’s military discipline is corrupted and the customs are destroyed, while the second one emphasizes the economic factors that are almost completely omitted in the first one, which may be the most important thing for Bao Lishen, who is an ordinary peasant. In Bao Lishen’s second essay, there is a long paragraph accusing the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom of the heavy taxes and fees. Therefore, the peasant resistance movement, which is the largest, the longest lasting and the fiercest struggle in the occupied area of Taiping Heavenly Kingdom, has comprehensive inducing factors, among which the root of the people’s resistance lies in the social panic caused by the social and economic bad behaviors that have been or may occur in Taiping Army, such as exorbitant taxes, corrupt military discipline and destruction of customs. At that time, although the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom occupied Shaoxing Fucheng and Zhuji County, it did not actually complete the political construction work for the vast rural areas, and most of the social and economic politics were not carried out in Baocun and its nearby areas. The opposition among the people in Baocun mainly originated from panic rather than practical feelings.

To resist tyranny.

Shen Zhangda, the only one in all kinds of historical materials named Huaxi Diary as "Shen Changda", was a vegetable farmer from Ganpu Town, Haiyan County, Jiaxing, who was "gardening for a living" and his family was "destitute". He was 61 years old when he started. Guangxu’s Haiyan County Records recorded its name in the list of Martyrs’ Gentlemen and Soldiers’ Surnames, and specially marked its identity as a "civilian" to show that it really belongs to the civilian class. On May 11th, the 11th year of Xianfeng, Shen Zhangda gathered more than a thousand villagers to the Ganpu Township Official Bureau to question the township official Yao Chengchu. Just when hundreds of villagers in Huangwan also complained, they jointly demolished the bureau house, bound Yao Chengchu and arrested the township official along the way. By May 13th, more than 10,000 rebel teams had gathered, and they cooperated with the Qing army to attack Tongyuan and Yucheng in Haiyan, and returned in defeat. On the 18th, the Taiping Army plundered Ganpu and claimed the first thing. On the 26th, Shen Sui stepped forward and was captured and killed.

The causes of Shen Zhang’s uprising are recorded in Huaxi Diary, which can be roughly divided into four categories: 1. Le Gong. In March of the eleventh year of Xianfeng, the Taiping Army took two grams of sea salt, which was adhered to according to the city. "In May, the thief Le Gong gradually crossed, and Tong Yuan Huang set up a trap from the thief, and paid more than 10,000 yuan in tribute to the seven maps, which was not enough for the people. Haiyan county nuclear office thirty-two thousand, to the seventh day of April, and add fifteen thousand, and want to levy silver, every two or seven discount two thousand and fifty ". 2. Taxation. At the beginning of May of the same year, "I wanted to divide the house numbers, write the number of people, and each card was B yuan and 40 cents, and each person was required to levy 20 articles a day, 100 per kitchen day, and 50 per kitchen." We can see that there are three names: house number fee, per capita tax and kitchen donation. 3. Collect rent after grain. On the ninth day of May, the Taiping Army authorities threatened with guns and boats that "after Tian Yin was chased, the scholars were afraid of the tiger’s potential, and they all lost all their money, and they still issued it as a series of tickets in Xianfeng for ten years, and by the eleventh, they had more than a thousand yuan", and "occasionally some owners took advantage of the situation to collect rent". 4. The township officials are greedy and cool. "chayuan Chen Yuchun … secretly gave directions to do tribute, claiming that he could deceive the public, and from the time of collecting silver, he occupied the bureau with Wang Zhuchuan, a traitor", "Gui Yingshan was also a thief, and first set up the silver bureau in his house, named Liu Quan Pavilion", "Five people visited the rich, and the letter was Shi Shuai, and the house number was set up ……. so the road was fat. If Xu Tu can collect fees item by item, the people may be able to cope, but the deterioration of the situation lies in "the ninth day of May,Unexpectedly, the doorplate, the kitchen expenses and the bank of Waizhuangtian were all launched, starting from the tenth day, without delay. Occasionally, the owners took advantage of the situation to collect rent, and they also threatened to chase it very tightly with guns and boats. "The people had nothing to accuse" and the people were already overwhelmed.

The reasons for the farmers’ resistance in Haiyan can be summarized as the harsh economic policies of the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom and the greed of township officials’ politics. Different from Bao Lishen’s uprising, the root of Shen Zhangda’s uprising lies in the people’s real feelings about the social, economic and political strategy of the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom. Among the above two points, the people hate the excessive collection of the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom even more; Although the politics of township officials is greedy and cool, it can promote the chaos, but their actions are also the embodiment of implementing the economic policy of the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom.

Four aspects of Taiping Heavenly Kingdom’s economic policy-paying tribute, taxation, paying off grain and collecting rent, in which paying tribute is the key to the antagonistic behavior of Haiyan people. Guangxu’s Haiyan County Records states that "from time to time, the thief’s first name, Kwai Tian Yu, came to the city to secure the public, called on the officials and people, and ordered the county to send high officials to invite people to do things, so sophistry would not disturb the place. A few days later, the four townships were ordered to contribute, and there was no empty day to chase. Zhang thief forced a huge sum of money to Nanxiang, and the women learned to take off their hairpin, and the scholars all hated it. " Grain and rent collection were not the main factors that triggered the revolt of Haiyan farmers. Although Haiyan authorities tried to restore the traditional social and economic order in the spring and winter of the eleventh year of Xianfeng, due to the constraints of subjective and objective environment, the collection of land tax in Haiyan area was not fully launched until December of the first year of Tongzhi, but the implementation was not good, and the traditional social and economic order failed to become the mainstream of the administration of Taiping Heavenly Kingdom. In April and May of the eleventh year of Xianfeng on the eve of the Shenzhang uprising, the official land tax and rent policy of the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom had not been officially promulgated, and the collection work had not been fully launched.

The main cause of the Shenzhang incident was that the people could not bear the economic burden of the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom. In all kinds of economic burdens, Le Gong of Taiping Army is the main aspect, and people’s resentment is boiling, which is aroused by Shen Zhang’s great enthusiasm and eventually leads to drastic changes.

"King Gai" who is troubled by "salt" and "food"

The uprising of "Gai Tianwang" was also forced by the participants’ real life. In August of the second year of Tongzhi (1863), Yan Xiao and Chen San gathered to revolt. "Gai Tianwang" is not the code name of the leader, but the spiritual symbol of the uprising team. The rioters gathered at the Three Temples in Huangwan, Haining, and pushed the three gods in the temple to be kings. "The so-called Gai Tianwang is also the Emperor Wu of the Yuan Dynasty in the temple." By September, there was a rumor among the people that "Gai Tianwang" was recruited by the Qing army in Shaoxing. The authorities in Jiaxing and Haining of the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom arrested the troublemakers, but the results were not great. In October, the hungry people gathered more and more. "The hungry people were recruited, and the investors did not count, totaling more than 10,000." The Taiping Army "was also afraid of the situation and dared not move." Until the end of the rule of the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom, this local force, which is mainly composed of hungry people, has not been completely dispersed.

The team of "Gai Tianwang" is often called "bandits", but they have obvious political demands like Yong Ying, such as "flagging openly" and "uprising in the temple". The targets of the struggle are directed at the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom government and the Taiping Army, looting local banks, appraising villages, mountain products banks, etc., as well as township lawsuits, centurions’ homes, and even delivering documents to Zhejiang general He Xinyi to borrow food. Why are you afraid of it? On the 10th day of November, the second year of Tongzhi, the leader, Chen Sanyatou, led more than 1,000 people to fight with the Taiping Army in Huaxi towns, killing more than 30 people of the Taiping Army all the way, burning the cards at the city’s tip, burning the township official bureau, and attacking the Taiping Army camp at Zhuziqiao and Hualongqiao. Therefore, the team of "Gai Tianwang" is by no means a general bandit who robs houses and houses, and can be regarded as a "vigilante" and "uprising".

The "Gai Tianwang" incident is a typical case in which farmers in the occupied areas of the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom rose up and rebelled because of famine and hunger. In December of the second year of Tongzhi, the Tongxiang authorities of the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom arrested three "Gaidang", and after being interrogated by the military commander Yao Futang, they recorded the following confession: "I was hungry and cold, so I planned to rob. ….. I wait for righteousness, so the robbery is selfless. If we are hungry, we will die. If we die, we will fight to kill. If the root cause is investigated, then the gods can’t get it; If you punish the party and the party, it will be everywhere, not less than tens of thousands of people, and you can’t win. " It’s hard to imagine that this generous statement of "people fear not death is afraid of death" came from bandits who were characterized as "rebellious" by the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom government, but their background of starving people and their motivation to stand up for survival actually added some justice to this incident.

The formation of the hungry people is that the land can’t be cultivated because of the backward flow of seawater into the inland. "After the seawall falls, the brine in the paddy field can’t be planted, and the residents no longer eat grain. Because of the robbery, the number of people attached to it is increasing." The unemployment of salt vendors was attributed to the implementation of the public monopoly system of salt by the Taiping Army authorities, which led to the salt vendors’ no profit, so they made a living by looting. Salt monopoly system has existed since ancient times, and salt policy is a national plan, which was attached great importance by successive governments, and so was the Qing government. In the Qing Dynasty, the salt law was mainly in the form of official supervision and commercial operation, and private salt was repeatedly banned. However, the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom implemented a complete monopoly, with township officials as daily managers or full-time managers, and the right to sell salt was returned to local governments. Banning the smuggling of salt can not only curb the loss of national wealth, but also prevent businessmen from hoarding and profiteering from it. It is understandable that successive governments have strictly enforced it. However, salt is a daily necessity of the people. The government monopolizes the price increase and makes profits on behalf of salt merchants. Not only are ordinary businessmen unprofitable, but even the basic needs of ordinary people’s families are deeply affected. For example, the "salt fee" levied in Changshu and Zhaowen is completely unfair and can only intensify social contradictions.

"King Gai" was troubled by "salt" and "food", which are the most basic needs of the people. It can be seen that the governments of Haining and Haiyan Taiping Heavenly Kingdom have not even completed the basic social appeasement. Although the political nature of the whole incident against the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom is remarkable, it cannot conceal the simple original intention of the people to join in the resistance, that is, to survive. Compared with the other two incidents, because the composition of this bandit team is basically people struggling on the verge of death, the color of "officials forcing the people to rebel" is even stronger.

It needs to be specially explained that because of the strong nature of the civilian-led militia, it is easy to misunderstand their battle with the Taiping Army as "farmers beating farmers". Jane Youwen once said: "Is it because most of the Taiping Army soldiers are farmers, so it is called the peasant revolution?" However, aren’t the Hunan soldiers who attacked and destroyed the counter-revolutionary Taiping Army farmers in Xiangxiang area? It is clear that farmers beat farmers. "(Jane’s essay: A Complete History of the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom, Volume I, Hong Kong: Jane’s Rushing into the Bookstore, 1962, with preface and supplementary note on page 3)The soldiers and brave fighters of the regiments led by the Qing army and local gentry also come from the people. Under the control of various political forces, there will be fundamental conflicts between the Taiping Army and their classes and interest groups, and most of the people who participate are organized. The interests and political demands of organizers and leaders are not exactly the same as those of the vast majority of the people. Therefore, this kind of opposition can not be completely regarded as the opposition between the people, but more of a political opposition between leaders. For these civilian-led resistance teams, their leaders and main participants are all from ordinary people, and their demands are relatively consistent, and the interests represented by the leaders and organizers have not been obviously alienated in the resistance. Therefore, the opposition between the civilian-led resistance team and the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom can be regarded as the opposition between the people and the ruling class of the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom, but it cannot be regarded as the opposition between the people and the people.

Compared with Bao Lishen, Shen Zhangda and Gai Tianwang, the three causes of armed incidents led by civilians, whether due to social panic or practical tyranny oppression, all reflect the simple original intention of the people to survive and seek security, that is, the content of resistance is basically an economic issue related to people’s livelihood. Although the specific protest content of each incident is different due to the type of incident, the place of occurrence and the socio-economic background, and the focus of the causes is also different, the people’s dissatisfaction with the social, economic and political strategy of the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom through the actual actions of resistance is consistent, and the common protest content is such as economic policies such as donation and contribution, as well as the principles, methods and effects of policy practice. From the analysis of the object of protest, the main object of protest of the people is the township officials. The greed and disorder of township officials’ politics-the deviation of policy implementers-are the common factors that form these protest events, but the township officials’ politics of Taiping Heavenly Kingdom mainly focuses on the practice of Taiping military authorities in economic policy. It can be seen that the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom did not realize the transformation and alternation between the old society and the new society in the occupied areas, on the contrary, it regressed from the old social order. The disadvantages of the parallel social order of tribute system and the traditional social and economic order were constantly exposed. In some areas, the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom did not even maintain the basic livelihood, which inspired the people to resist the social, economic and political strategy of the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom. This shows that the opposition between ordinary people and the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom is mainly the opposition of their own interests, not the opposition of political positions. Therefore, as long as the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom can safeguard the interests of the general public, it can win the initiative in the long-term anti-Qing war. In the early days,The Taiping Heavenly Kingdom described and promised a complete and beautiful vision for the general public, which represented the interests of the general public to a certain extent, so as to widely mobilize the people to join the rebellion, which was unprecedented in scale and intensity and dealt a heavy blow to the decadent Qing Dynasty. However, under the conditions of long-term war, the policies and measures of the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom, the performance of government officials at all levels and Taiping Army officers and soldiers at all levels may deviate from these goals, triggering political resistance events led by civilians like Bao Lishen, Shen Zhangda and Chen Sanyatou. This shows that the grass-roots governance of the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom did have serious problems of irrationality and violent oppression.

State Post Bureau: The first batch of postal relief materials delivered to the disaster areas were all properly delivered.

  CCTV News:According to the website of the State Post Bureau, on August 13th, the first batch of relief materials sent to the disaster area by post arrived at Jiuzhaigou Zhangzha Post Sub-office. After intense work, all 20 relief materials were properly delivered on the same day. 200 mother postal parcels donated to Jiuzhaigou Women’s Federation were also delivered on the day of arrival. The Sichuan Postal Administration said that as of the 15th, the delivery channels were safe and orderly; Sichuan Post Branch, SF, Yuantong, Zhongtong, JD.COM, Tiantian and other industries actively participated in the earthquake relief work.

  After the earthquake, Zhangzha Post Sub-office quickly opened the postal "green channel for earthquake relief" to provide free receiving and delivery services for the people in the disaster areas and resume normal delivery operations. On August 10th, more than 60 mails were received and sent, and nearly 500 imported parcels were handled, among which 10 college entrance examination admission notices were all delivered to the recipients safely. Two days after the earthquake, except for the closure of Zhangzha Branch on the 9th, the other postal outlets in Jiuzhaigou County maintained normal business, and two CRS and ATMs in Yongfeng New District and Zhangzha Branch provided financial self-service for the people in the disaster area for 216 times.

  On August 14th, there was a heavy rain in Jiuzhaigou County, and the tent of the temporary postal service point set up by Zhangzha Post Sub-office was flooded. After the rainstorm, postal cadres and workers set up tents again to provide postal services for the residents in the disaster area.

Since July, it is related to social security and wages. It is illegal for the company to do so!

Friends, have a nice weekend ~

Since July

Many new regulations have landed.

These red lines are also clear!

If the unit has the following behaviors,

All illegal!

On the five forbidden zones of social security

Please pay attention! The following situations are actually all illegal! If your company has the following practices, you must pay attention, the consequences are very serious!

01. The probation unit does not pay social security.

The social insurance law clearly stipulates that the employer shall apply for social security registration for its employees within 30 days from the date of employment. If the social insurance has not been registered, the social insurance agency shall verify the social insurance premium it should pay.

Therefore, enterprises must pay social security for employees during the probation period.

02. The unit pays social security according to the minimum wage.

According to the Shanghai Social Security Center, according to the relevant policies and regulations, the monthly payment base of employees is determined according to their monthly average wage income in the previous year. If it is lower than the lower limit of the payment base announced in that year, it will be implemented according to the lower limit. If it is higher than the upper limit of the payment base in that year, the higher part will not be included in the payment base.

At the same time, according to the notice of Shanghai People’s Society, from July 1, 2023, the upper limit of Shanghai’s social security contribution base will be adjusted to 36,549 yuan/month, and the lower limit will be adjusted to 7,310 yuan/month.

So don’t be stolen! The minimum wage standard is only the minimum social security payment stipulated by law, not the payment base. It is illegal to pay social security according to the minimum wage.

03. If you don’t sign the contract, you won’t pay social security.

What if my company refuses to pay social security on the grounds that it has not signed a labor contract?

What we need to know is that the determination of labor relations can not only depend on a paper contract, as long as there is sufficient evidence to prove the existence of labor relations between individuals and units, social security must be paid!

When necessary, we can provide the following certificates to prove the employment relationship with the unit:

1, wage payment vouchers or records (payroll roster), payment of various social insurance premiums,

2. "Work permit", "service certificate" and other documents that can prove identity issued by the employer to the workers,

3, workers fill in the employer recruitment "registration form", "application form" and other recruitment records.

4. Attendance records;

5. Testimonies of other workers, etc.

Among them, the relevant documents of items 1, 3 and 4 shall be borne by the employer.

04. A fall on the way to and from work is not a work-related injury.

According to Article 14 of the Regulations on Work-related Injury Insurance, a work-related injury can be considered if the following three conditions are met at the same time:

① "On the way to and from work" at a reasonable time and on a reasonable route;

② The injury is caused by "traffic accident or urban rail transit, passenger ferry and train accident";

③ The accident must be "not my main responsibility".

In addition, according to the first paragraph of Article 33 of the Regulations on Work-related Injury Insurance, if an employee needs to suspend work to receive work-related injury medical treatment due to work-related accidents or occupational diseases, the original salary and welfare benefits will remain unchanged during the period of suspension with pay, and the unit where he works will pay him monthly.

05. The company must pay social security for the legal person.

When the legal representative of the company (also known as the legal representative) and the company constitute a labor relationship, they should participate in the basic old-age insurance for employees according to law.

When there is no labor relationship between the legal representative of the company and the company, according to the provisions of the social insurance law, it does not belong to the compulsory insured object of social insurance.

The salary in Shanghai shall not be lower than this figure!

A few days ago, the website of the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security recently released the national minimum wage standard.

among

Shanghai still tops the list with 2690 yuan.

Not only does the monthly minimum wage still rank first.

Recruitment salary in Shanghai in the second quarter

It continues to lead the country!

Please click on the blue word below for details.

The average is 13,486 yuan! Who is leading the monthly salary in Shanghai?! ! !

Attention! ! !

If the money mentioned below is included in the minimum wage, it is illegal for your interests to be harmed.

Laborers can go to Shanghai Labor Bureau to complain about labor supervision.

Check the three gold bills online

Worth collecting!

One map goes directly to the three gold bills, and the provident fund, medical insurance and pension can be queried online.

Inquiry on interest settlement of provident fund

To tell you quietly, your provident fund has actually been helping you make money.

Since July, the interest of the provident fund has been settled. Go and see how much money your provident fund account has.

You can inquire through the "With the Bid Citizen Cloud" APP.

Long press to identify the QR code below and go directly to related services.

→ Click [Three Gold Bills] on the homepage of "With the Bid for Citizen Cloud" APP.

→ Click View Details on the right side of Provident Fund to enter.

→ Click 【 View Account Details 】

Finally, remind everyone

The 2023 edition of "Huhuibao" policy came into effect on July 1, 2023, and the guarantee period was until June 30, 2024, and the enrollment time was until July 31.

Long press to identify the QR code below, and go directly to the "Apply for Citizen Cloud" APP insurance page.

The content and pictures of the article come from | China Accounting News and Shanghai People’s Society. Please contact the original author for reprinting and authorization.

Original title: "Since July, it is related to social security and wages. It is illegal for the company to do so! 》

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Seismological Bureau: The active source technology system for detecting underground structures will solve earthquake precursors.

Seismological Bureau: The active source technology system for detecting underground structures will solve earthquake precursors.

  BEIJING, Beijing, June 22 (Xinhua) The routine press conference of the Seismological Bureau of China in the second quarter of 2017 was held in Beijing on the 22nd. The conference introduced the active source technology system for detecting underground structures and the background and ideas of its application projects.

  As one of the important topics of seismology in the 21st century, earthquake prediction is a global scientific problem. According to reports, it is an important means to study the underground medium structure and its change with time by using active sources to understand the earthquake environment and the process of earthquake preparation.

  At the press conference, Xu Ping, a researcher at the Seismological Bureau of China, introduced the latest research achievement of the team of Academician Chen Qing from the Institute of Geophysics of the Seismological Bureau of China: "illuminating" the earth’s interior by artificially creating earthquakes.

  Xu Ping said that up to now, most of people’s knowledge about the internal structure of the earth comes from seismologists’ analysis of seismic waves. However, natural earthquakes are uncontrollable and unevenly distributed, and there are a lot of blind spots. Xu Ping pointed out that artificial earthquake sources are needed to fill the places where there is no earthquake.

  Xu Ping said, "The top ten scientific and technological problems in the 21st century are recognized internationally, and the first one is earthquake prediction. Because we don’t know how the earthquake came into being until now, it occurred at a depth of more than ten kilometers underground. The earthquake we know may be a fracture, and the pressure is pressed to a certain extent. For example, this chopstick is broken, which is an earthquake. This is our current cognition, and a large number of tectonic earthquakes are generated in this way. But when will it break? This is what we want to explore now, because only in this way can I predict when an earthquake will happen, just like weather forecast, so we have done a lot of work in this respect. We have experienced exploration for decades and now give us a new means, a new idea and a new method. Let’s explore this matter. "

  Xu Ping introduced that an air gun presses high-pressure gas into a gas cylinder and then releases them underwater. This pressure can spread far away. According to this principle, in 2011, Chen Qing, an academician of Chinese Academy of Sciences and a geophysicist, proposed that Binchuan, Dali, Yunnan Province established the world’s first launch pad for air gun sources. In 2013 and 2015, two air gun source launch stations were built in Hutubi, Xinjiang, and Zhangye, Qilian Mountain, respectively. Each launch pad will quietly fire dozens of times at night every day. At this time, the surrounding seismic stations will receive continuous seismic waves.

  Xu Ping said that before the natural earthquake with the magnitude of 5.2 in Qilian Mountain, we can see the change of the travel time of the seismic wave generated by gas shooting 100 days before the natural earthquake. "We can see that the earthquake has a precursor phenomenon, at least on this earthquake, we can see that the travel time of the velocity layer of its underground structure has changed."

  "Chen Qing’s team put forward an idea that if there are about 10 fixed air gun launchers in China, and the monitoring distance can reach about 1000 kilometers, it can basically cover the whole of Chinese mainland." Xu Ping said that through such a detection coverage, we can explore the laws of earthquakes more, better and deeper, explore the relationship between human activities, national economic construction and tectonic movement, and explore the formation laws of mineral deposits. (End)

Research on the Transformation of China’s Study Abroad Service Industry under the Background of "Belt and Road"

[Abstract] With the "Belt and Road Initiative" entering the second decade, China’s cooperation with countries and regions along the route has reached a higher level, which puts forward a more urgent demand for international talents who know China, Asia and the Western world. Under this background, China’s study abroad service industry, as a bridge between domestic and foreign education, should transform its way of promoting international talent training from the traditional "outward transportation" to the "transportation+introduction" double cycle. This paper explores the necessity of this transformation, analyzes the problems in the process of transformation from the perspectives of industry structure, organization and technology, and puts forward some countermeasures, such as perfecting product system, digitizing study abroad service, establishing local study abroad service industry associations and strengthening the combination of academic research and practice.

[Keywords:] "Belt and Road"; Study abroad service industry; Industry transformation

According to official data, by the end of 2022, China had signed more than 200 cooperation documents with 150 countries and 32 international organizations to jointly build the Belt and Road, which created opportunities for business exchanges among many countries and promoted talent exchanges between different countries. In addition, with the increasingly fierce geopolitical competition between China and the United States, the importance of the "Belt and Road" construction has become increasingly prominent. Report to the 20th CPC National Congress of the Communist Party of China pointed out that building the Belt and Road Initiative has become a popular platform for international public goods and international cooperation. It is necessary to promote the high-quality development of the "Belt and Road".

The essence of the "Belt and Road" construction is the cooperation between China and other countries, which requires the participation of international talents to achieve the expected results. China’s study abroad service industry has great advantages in international talent training, and has helped millions of students to study abroad successfully for many years. When national construction needs a large number of international talents, China’s study abroad service industry should be appropriately transformed, give full play to its early service advantages, publicize relevant national policies, and promote overseas students to return to China for employment; At the same time, we will develop the business of international students studying in China, optimize the "import" and "export", and make contributions to the cultivation of international talents in China.

P24- Table. jpg

Representative scholars, perspectives and contents of study abroad service industry

First, the introduction of China’s study abroad service industry

After the reform and opening up, the state implemented the policy of supporting study abroad, and gradually liberalized self-funded study abroad. With the rapid development of economic globalization, the income of China residents has been greatly improved, and the main way of studying abroad has gradually changed from public study to self-funded study, further promoting the upsurge of studying abroad. The purpose of studying abroad has also changed, from learning knowledge to broadening knowledge, enriching life and learning advanced knowledge and technology. Under this circumstance, the service industry for studying abroad in China came into being. Since the reform and opening up, it has provided overseas study consultation and services to millions of self-funded groups, helping many students to study abroad successfully. Among them, Britain, the United States, Canada and Australia are the main destinations for studying abroad, and Germany, Japan and South Korea are gradually attracting more and more students’ attention.

China’s overseas study service industry organizations include large companies, studios and independent consultants, etc. The educational level of the clients involves middle school, undergraduate and graduate students, and the service contents include overseas study consultation, overseas study application, overseas study training, academic counseling and employment guidance. The service content can be divided and defined in more detail from narrow and broad perspectives. In a narrow sense, study abroad service is an intermediary service for study abroad, including study abroad consultation and application; In a broad perspective, study abroad service includes not only study abroad consultation and application, but also study abroad training, academic counseling, study abroad and employment services.

Since January 8, 2023, China has officially implemented "Class B and B Management" for Covid-19 infection, and the market of China’s study abroad service industry has gradually warmed up. Related industry research reports show that compared with the rapid development from 2014 to 2019, China’s study abroad service industry is in a moderate development period from 2021 to 2023, but it will start to grow at a high speed after 2024, reaching a market scale of 467.9 billion yuan and nearly 600 billion yuan in 2024 and 2025 respectively. Among them, the business of studying abroad from a narrow perspective is growing slowly, while the business from a broad perspective, including background improvement, study abroad training, academic counseling and employment services, will usher in rapid development.

Michael Porter once said that the four factors of politics, law, economy, social culture and technology in the macro environment of the industry have great influence on the long-term development of the industry and enterprises within the industry. The "Belt and Road Initiative" conforms to China’s basic national policy of opening to the outside world, is the need for the country to expand and deepen its opening to the outside world, and is also an effective way to strengthen ties and cooperation between China, Asia, Europe and Africa. China’s study abroad service industry should give full play to its own characteristics, make appropriate transformation, change its mode from "outward export" to "export+import", and expand its study abroad destinations to countries and regions along the Belt and Road, so as to cultivate international talents needed for the Belt and Road construction.

Second, the necessity of the transformation and upgrading of the service industry for studying abroad

(1) Create a good domestic environment for the construction of the "Belt and Road"

As early as 2015, the number of employees in China’s study abroad service industry from a narrow perspective has reached 25,000. In 2017, the state released the qualification of intermediary service for studying abroad, and more individuals were able to enter the industry. Since 2018, various industries (businesses) in China’s study abroad service industry have developed rapidly from a broad perspective. Under the background of "One Belt, One Road" initiative, the transformation of China’s study abroad service industry is bound to create more employment opportunities, alleviate the current employment problems, thus promoting social stability, creating a good domestic environment for promoting the "Belt and Road" construction, and providing a sound environmental guarantee for exploring more international cooperation.

(B) to provide talent protection for the "Belt and Road" construction

From 1978 to the end of 2018, more than 3.65 million overseas students chose to return to China for development after completing their studies. Among them, many people have become the best in the industry and made great contributions to the prosperity and development of the country. At the same time, China has become the largest destination country for studying abroad in Asia. In 2018, a total of 492,200 international students from 196 countries and regions studied in China, including more than 260,000 students from countries and regions along the Belt and Road Initiative.

Under the background of "One Belt, One Road" initiative, the transformation of China’s study abroad service industry involves providing better services to the above two groups. "Overseas students have a broad vision and should be at the forefront of innovation", which is the high hope and expectation of the Supreme Leader General Secretary for the overseas students. Returned overseas students generally have an international perspective, are familiar with international rules and dare to innovate and start businesses. International students from countries and regions along the Belt and Road have a full understanding of their own countries, and by studying in China and learning China culture, they become the disseminators of China culture. These two groups are important talent groups needed to promote the "Belt and Road" construction, which provide a basic guarantee for comprehensively promoting the diplomacy of a big country with China characteristics, and are also the groups that must be focused on in the transformation of the service industry for studying abroad in China.

(C) Effectively respond to national talent introduction policies and international competition for talents.

In today’s world, international competition is unprecedentedly fierce, and countries with strong comprehensive strength can gain advantages in the competition. In the final analysis, the competition between countries is the competition of knowledge innovation and scientific and technological innovation, and the key is the competition of talents. Countries have formulated policies to attract overseas talents, such as Germany’s "blue card program", Britain’s PSW visa policy, and the United States’ provision of convenient immigration conditions for science and engineering talents. Compared with western countries, China pays more attention to the introduction of high-level talents from other countries. China pays more attention to its own overseas students and their work, and has successively issued a series of policies to encourage overseas students to return to China and serve the country. The transformation of the service industry for studying abroad in China should involve relevant contents, so as to help China effectively cope with the international competition for talents.

Third, the problems existing in the transformation of the service industry for studying abroad

(A) the industrial chain is short, the links between different industries are loose, and the products need to be systematized.

In 2018, there were 662,100 Chinese students studying abroad, with a total of 519,400 returned overseas students and over 490,000 international students studying in China. The data shows that there is a big gap between the export and import of students in China at this stage. Only a few institutions in the market provide business for studying in China, and most of them lack services for studying in China, especially for students from countries and regions along the Belt and Road Initiative. On the other hand, the service products of China’s study abroad service industry on the employment of returned overseas students also need to be enriched.

(B) A large number of organizations, the quality of service needs to be improved.

On January 12th, 2017, the State Council issued the "Decision on the Third Batch of Cancellation of Administrative Licensing Matters in Central Designated Places", which cancelled the qualification examination and approval of study abroad agents, and the number of institutions providing study abroad services increased sharply. In Tianyancha, "study abroad service intermediary" was used as the key word to search, and the number of related enterprises has exceeded 100 thousand. However, the improvement of the service quality of overseas study service institutions failed to catch up with the growth rate of the number of institutions. Take the study abroad service industry in Ningbo as an example. By 2022, there were as many as 990 enterprises involved in study abroad services, but only 90 enterprises specialized in study abroad services, nearly half of which were small and micro enterprises, which made it difficult to protect the rights and interests of customers. More than 20% of the respondents who are willing to study abroad hold a wait-and-see attitude towards the services of overseas institutions, and think that their service quality assurance system and tracking system need to be improved [1]. The improvement of service quality will enhance the satisfaction of students (customers) who plan to study abroad with the service industry for studying abroad, and ultimately affect their acceptance of the follow-up suggestions given by the industry, which will help the industry guide international students to return to China for development.

(C) The application of digital and intelligent technologies in the industry needs to be improved.

Traditional study abroad institutions have a slight advantage in promoting informatization. Some organizations have started to build CRM and OA systems since 2010, linking employee performance with system operation, improving internal employee management and ensuring customer service can be completed on time. In 2017, some institutions also launched intelligent study abroad system products, covering consultant style, product introduction, destination country introduction, institution introduction, professional introduction and successful cases, providing students and parents with all-round services and support. There are also several overseas training institutions that have arranged online education early to realize online and digital language training. Except for some large overseas institutions, there are very few enterprises that can support the digital cost, which leads to a series of problems, such as customer data can not be kept safely, customer privacy can not be guaranteed, business progress can not be shared in real time, and customer experience is poor.

(D) lack of academic research and failure to provide effective guidance for the transformation of the service industry for studying abroad.

More employees in the overseas study service industry will pursue higher-level degree courses after work to better serve students or guide the development of overseas study service institutions. As of March 18th, 2023, there were 111 master’s theses on China Knowledge Network with the theme of "study abroad service". However, most of the studies were carried out around a single enterprise, rarely from the perspective of the industry, especially the related research with the background of "Belt and Road", which failed to provide effective reference for the transformation of the study abroad service industry in China. According to the literature, scholars’ perspectives include the brand building and development strategy of overseas study service institutions, the evolution of overseas study policies, the influencing factors of students’ willingness and motivation to study abroad, the risks in the process of studying abroad, and the impact of studying abroad on China’s education development (see table).

Fourth, the study on the countermeasures for the transformation of the service industry for studying abroad

(1) Based on international education, increase employment and study in China to meet the talent demand for the construction of the Belt and Road Initiative.

1. Improve the products and services related to returning employment.

The service industry for studying abroad has provided relevant services before students go abroad, and it has early advantages in contacting and persuading students to buy products for employment back home. When designing products related to returning to China for employment, enterprises should decide according to their own scale and strength, and also consider the demand for talents in the construction of the "Belt and Road". For large-scale enterprises, we can consider taking advantage of having offices abroad to cooperate with recruitment platforms and hold job fairs overseas; Summarize and share the information on the talent demand for the "Belt and Road" construction and the information on the employment of overseas students returning to China, including entrepreneurship, employment support, financial support and other services, and play the role of a third party to improve the efficiency of students’ decision-making; Establish a special business department, hire professional staff, and provide students with resume guidance and interview training. Smaller enterprises can consider focusing on developing the second type of scheme or cooperating with large enterprises.

2. Developing the business of international students studying in China, and forming a double-cycle effect with the business of studying abroad.

The study abroad service industry should establish in-depth cooperation with relevant state departments and institutions and domestic schools, understand the needs of colleges and universities, make full use of the marketing departments of different enterprises, and timely and accurately convey information to potential international students in countries and regions along the Belt and Road Initiative; Work with the school to design related activities, such as essay competition for international students in China, international friends entering China enterprises, cooking competition for international students in China, etc., to help international students in China integrate into life in China, understand China culture and tell China stories well.

(2) Establish local study abroad service industry associations to promote personnel exchanges between China and countries and regions along the Belt and Road.

The local study abroad service industry association is a non-profit social organization in the study abroad service industry. It is generally advocated and promoted by the local education department, reviewed and approved by the Social Organization Administration of the Civil Affairs Department, and participated by local study abroad service institutions. It has clear functions, structure, articles of association and services. At present, relevant associations have been established in Beijing and Guangzhou. Taking beijing overseas-study service association as an example, the Association has 66 member units, all of which have the qualification of intermediary service for studying abroad. The Association has a secretariat, an international department, a comprehensive social service department, a training department, a Chinese department, an information center and a legal affairs department, which provide various services such as studying abroad guarantee plan, seven-day termination without obligation, studying abroad finance and studying abroad insurance, and make positive contributions to standardizing the local study abroad market in Beijing, promoting the healthy and steady development of the local study abroad service industry and cultivating international talents for the country. All localities can learn from Beijing’s practice, establish local study abroad service industry associations, understand students’ needs, regularly share and timely recommend the study abroad policies of countries and regions along the Belt and Road, and promote the exchange of study between China and countries and regions along the Belt and Road.

(3) Promote the digitalization of overseas study services, promote the inter-industry links of overseas study services, and improve service quality and customer experience.

The digital trend of studying abroad service is irreversible. The study abroad service industry should adhere to the digitalization of study abroad service, create favorable conditions for industry employees to learn and improve their personal digital literacy, and actively cooperate with industry associations to discuss how to use technologies such as the Internet, big data and artificial intelligence to innovate the study abroad service model and platform. China’s overseas study service industry should pay close attention to the relevant information of overseas students’ return service in time, and make corresponding publicity and support. At present, the country regularly holds job fairs for overseas students and the "Spring Cup" innovation and entrepreneurship competition for overseas students in China, and has established a government platform of "Service for Studying in internet plus". China’s study abroad service industry should pay attention to the digital reform of the country and provide effective advice and guidance for returned overseas students.

(4) Guide the academic circle to study the transformation of the overseas study service industry and better serve the construction of the "Belt and Road"

On the basis of establishing local study abroad service industry association, we should build a talent pool of local study abroad service industry. The association will organize leaders of study abroad institutions and people with high academic qualifications to hold regular discussions and hold industry salons. Topics can include the development of individual enterprises, the construction of China’s study abroad service industry ecosystem, and how China’s study abroad service industry can help the "Belt and Road" construction, so as to help the people with high academic qualifications get scientific research inspiration and promote the local and even national study abroad service industry to find a better development direction.

The development of study abroad service industry in China is of great economic and social significance to China and plays an important role in cultivating and absorbing international talents. Under the background that the "Belt and Road" construction continues to advance and a large number of talents are needed, China’s study abroad service industry needs to be transformed, and the talent introduction function should be realized and strengthened to achieve the goal of attracting overseas students to return to China for development and attracting outstanding foreign students to study and work in China. (The author Lu Shengguan is a teacher in the Marketing Department of Jilin International Studies University. This paper is the phased scientific research achievement of Jilin International Studies University’s school-level project "Research on College Students’ Academic Attainment: Influencing Factors, Influencing Principles and Posteffects" [project number: JW2022JSKYB029]).

References:

[1] Liu Chang. Ningbo study abroad service industry development survey [J]. Ningbo Economy (Sanjiang Forum), 2022, No.560 (01): 14-15+26.

[2] Lin Jie, Zhang Xinqi, Liu Yeqing. Construction and application of risk assessment model for studying abroad-based on the evaluation of Britain and the United States [J]. University Education Management, 2023,17 (01): 100-114.

[3] Chen Xiaojie. Study on marketing strategy of HB Group’s overseas study business [D]. Nanning: Guangxi University, 2022.

[4] Lu Shengguan. Study on the influencing factors of internal service quality-taking the domestic study abroad service industry as an example [D]. Beijing: capital university of economics and business, 2017.

Source: China Scholar (No.7, 2023)